As many of us know, MbL announced on twitter that he was taking a break from AoE II because not enough pro players were showing up on the ranked ladder. I was curious about the objective change in circumstances of MbL's opportunities, and I happen to have a bunch of data from aoe2.net on my computer, so I created a table of weekly results to see how things have been going with him in 1v1 on the ranked ladder.
| Week | Number of Games Played by MbL | Highest ELO of an opponent | Average opponent ELO | Lowest ELO of an opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 | 4 | 2320 | 2240 | 2160 |
| 07-21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 07-28 | 1 | 2283 | 2283 | 2283 |
| 08-04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 08-11 | 4 | 2422 | 2031 | 1852 |
| 08-18 | 15 | 2514 | 2337 | 2095 |
| 08-25 | 20 | 2516 | 2328 | 2111 |
| 09-01 | 10 | 2473 | 2339 | 2142 |
| 09-08 | 10 | 2502 | 2462 | 2420 |
| 09-15 | 4 | 2404 | 2276 | 2128 |
| 09-22 | 28 | 2497 | 2317 | 1731 |
| 09-29 | 13 | 2416 | 2235 | 1647 |
| 10-06 | 25 | 2512 | 2286 | 1696 |
| 10-13 | 30 | 2515 | 2367 | 2043 |
| 10-20 | 17 | 2454 | 2289 | 1764 |
| Age | of | Empires | IV | Released |
| 10-28 | 5 | 2418 | 2290 | 2152 |
| 11-03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11-10 | 11 | 2498 | 2313 | 2138 |
| 11-17 | 27 | 2463 | 2314 | 1857 |
| 11-24 | 7 | 2336 | 2170 | 1876 |
I am not a statistician, but it looks to me like there hasn't been a noticeable change in the skill of the players he has been playing. I obviously cannot address how MbL feels, nor whether there are specific players he is missing playing, but the overall quality of the ranked ladder at his level looks to me to be about as strong as always.
Thoughts?
PS: I used the Siege Engineers Player data to grab all his smurf accounts.
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