Civ win rates for Empire Wars ladder

I saw Robo's reddit post on RBW5 civ winrates (https://www.reddit.com/r/aoe2/comments/ppxf86/some_interesting_rbw5_stats/), and thought the time was ripe to share part of an ongoing project that community member dj0wns (and to a much less extent me also) has been working on. We have been searching over recs algorithmically and extracting information (like opening info, civ, map, and tech timing) from games using some code that dj wrote.

The code is still being tweaked actively, but we can easily extract Empire Wars civ win rates at different Elo bands. I arbitrarily chose 1250+ Elo EW for the stats below (which is top 200 players roughly). All of the recs are collected post the August 10th patch which introduced the new civs: Bohemians and Poles.

The numbers in each line give the number of players who played that civ in the current selection of games (at 1250+ 1v1 EW Elo), the frequency of that civ as a percentage of the games on the ladder, and then the win ratio and win percentage for that civ.

Chinese, 35, 1.80%, 22:13, 62.90%

Byzantines, 35, 1.80%, 22:13, 62.90%

Incas, 32, 1.60%, 20:12, 62.50%

Celts, 29, 1.50%, 18:11, 62.10%

Sicilians, 38, 1.90%, 23:15, 60.50%

Huns, 75, 3.80%, 44:31, 58.70%

Vietnamese, 33, 1.70%, 19:14, 57.60%

Saracens, 53, 2.70%, 30:23, 56.60%

Franks, 69, 3.50%, 39:30, 56.50%

Bohemians, 64, 3.30%, 36:28, 56.20%

Aztecs, 88, 4.50%, 49:39, 55.70%

Khmer, 29, 1.50%, 16:13, 55.20%

Ethiopians, 147, 7.50%, 80:67, 54.40%

Vikings, 92, 4.70%, 49:43, 53.30%

Britons, 51, 2.60%, 26:25, 51.00%

Malians, 40, 2.00%, 20:20, 50.00%

Turks, 28, 1.40%, 14:14, 50.00%

Burgundians, 51, 2.60%, 25:26, 49.00%

Teutons, 37, 1.90%, 18:19, 48.60%

Tatars, 79, 4.00%, 38:41, 48.10%

Koreans, 38, 1.90%, 18:20, 47.40%

Mayans, 55, 2.80%, 26:29, 47.30%

Spanish, 36, 1.80%, 17:19, 47.20%

Burmese, 30, 1.50%, 14:16, 46.70%

Italians, 37, 1.90%, 17:20, 45.90%

Berbers, 57, 2.90%, 26:31, 45.60%

Bulgarians, 44, 2.20%, 20:24, 45.50%

Mongols, 38, 1.90%, 17:21, 44.70%

Magyars, 123, 6.30%, 54:69, 43.90%

Cumans, 66, 3.40%, 29:37, 43.90%

Portuguese, 30, 1.50%, 13:17, 43.30%

Slavs, 33, 1.70%, 14:19, 42.40%

Indians, 43, 2.20%, 18:25, 41.90%

Lithuanians, 48, 2.40%, 20:28, 41.70%

Malay, 41, 2.10%, 17:24, 41.50%

Goths, 44, 2.20%, 18:26, 40.90%

Poles, 32, 1.60%, 13:19, 40.60%

Japanese, 33, 1.70%, 13:20, 39.40%

Persians, 33, 1.70%, 11:22, 33.30%

Most of the popular civ picks in red bull 5 matches (Franks, Mayans, Cumans, Ethiopians, Tatars, and Indians) also have a high play rate on the ladder unsurprisingly. Indians appear to have performed relatively poorly both in the tournament and on the ladder. Franks is on the other hand performing well on the ladder and in RBW5 matches.

Ethiopians have a very high play rate on the EW 1v1 ladder (at 7.5% frequency vs the expected random civ rate of ~2.6%). Unsurprisingly Magyars and Vikings have really high playrates also.

Looking forward to sharing more statistics when we have more user friendly code.